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J R Soc Interface ; 19(188): 20210896, 2022 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1735716

ABSTRACT

An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Communicable Disease Control , Humans , Immunity, Herd , Northern Ireland/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2
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